Monday, September 19: 5:30 PM - 7:00 PM
Location: Great Hall

 

Gabrielle Freeman

Analyst, RSG

PRESENTATION DESCRIPTION

The Oregon Department of Transportation’s statewide Oregon Transportation Plan (OTP), which is currently in development, is utilizing one of the most sophisticated and advanced scenario planning analysis methods for a long-range plan at a statewide scale. The OTP leverages Oregon’s application of the VisionEval State (VE-State) strategic model to evaluate hundreds of scenarios that account for multiple simultaneously changing variables.

This scenario planning approach uses the Travel Model Improvement Program Exploratory Modeling and Analysis Tool (TMIP-EMAT) to systematically explore uncertainties in input variables and model parameters, along with the impact that those uncertainties have on performance metrics. Several enhancements have been made to Oregon’s VE-State model as part of the OTP. These enhancements have included new capabilities for modeling connected and autonomous vehicles and updating the key travel demand components of the model with 2017 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) data.

Importantly, the project has employed novel and innovative quantitative exploratory scenario planning methods for a long-range plan at a statewide scale. This permits model users to test future land use options and future network and funding investment options in addition to many of the more “exploratory” policies and advancements in technology. This project will conclude in early 2023.

SPEAKER BIOGRAPHY